What will be Manifold’s opinion of Emmanuel Macron? 🇫🇷🥮
Mini
13
2.4k
resolved Mar 27
Resolved
50-60

In one week, I will create an opinion poll with the title “What is your opinion of Emmanuel Macron?”. It will have the the following options, with the following point values:

- Very Positive: +1

- Somewhat Positive: +0.75

- Neutral: +0.5

- Somewhat Negative: +0.25

- Very Negative: 0

For example, let’s say there are 100 votes and they break down as follows:

20 very positive

30 somewhat positive

10 neutral

25 somewhat negative

15 very negative

The approval rating would be calculated the following:

((20 1) + (30 0.75) + (10 0.5) + (25 0.25) + (15 0)) / (100 total votes) * 100 = 53.75%

So, the approval rating for Emmanuel Macron would be 53.75%

If the percentage is exactly a factor of 10, then the higher bucket will resolve YES. So an approval rating of 30 would mean 30-40 resolves YES, and the 20-30 would resolve NO, and all other buckets would resolve NO.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money