Will SBF live till the end of the year?
56
56
Ṁ17KṀ1.1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?
Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ93 | |
2 | Ṁ76 | |
3 | Ṁ32 | |
4 | Ṁ25 | |
5 | Ṁ20 |
Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-live-till-the
I just copied this for Caroline Ellison.
@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent