Will SBF live till the end of the year?

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Ṁ17k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?

Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#FTX Insolvency Crisis

#"Life Insurance"

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1,000

and

3.00

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predicted YES

Increasingly unclear when people post these if they’re even real

(And once again looking like they were looting customer funds from day one?)

predicted YES

https://archive.ph/QTyne

predicted YES

Related: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-prediction-markets-on-individu#7YzBu175N4offGAh01Na

predicted YES

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-live-till-the

I just copied this for Caroline Ellison.

Even Epstein survived for longer than two months.

Do people in situations like this tend to actually die??

@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent

@sophiawisdom Oh that's very embarrassing for me lol. Glad no one capitalized

Will SBF live till the end of the year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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