Will SBF live till the end of the year?
56
56
1.1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?

Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ93
2Ṁ76
3Ṁ32
4Ṁ25
5Ṁ20
Sort by:
predicted YES

Increasingly unclear when people post these if they’re even real

(And once again looking like they were looting customer funds from day one?)

predicted YES
predicted YES

Related: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-prediction-markets-on-individu#7YzBu175N4offGAh01Na

predicted YES

Related:

bought Ṁ15 of YES
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Even Epstein survived for longer than two months.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Do people in situations like this tend to actually die??

bought Ṁ80 of YES

@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent

sold Ṁ100 of NO

@sophiawisdom Oh that's very embarrassing for me lol. Glad no one capitalized

Will SBF live till the end of the year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition