Will SBF live till the end of the year?
95%
chance

It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?

Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.

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BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikuta
is predicting YES at 92%

Related: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-prediction-markets-on-individu#7YzBu175N4offGAh01Na

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King
is predicting YES at 88%

Related:

BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikuta
bought Ṁ15 of YES
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Even Epstein survived for longer than two months.

Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought Ṁ100 of NO

Do people in situations like this tend to actually die??

sophiawisdom avatar
sophia wisdom
bought Ṁ80 of YES

@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent

Conflux avatar
Conflux
sold Ṁ100 of NO

@sophiawisdom Oh that's very embarrassing for me lol. Glad no one capitalized

ManifoldDream avatar

Will SBF live till the end of the year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition