Will SBF live till the end of the year?

Ṁ1.1kṀ17k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?

Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.

Market context

FTX Insolvency Crisis

"Life Insurance"

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ93
2		Ṁ76
3		Ṁ32
4		Ṁ25
5		Ṁ20

People are also trading

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?

89% chance

Will SBF die in prison?

13% chance

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?

14% chance

Will SBF be released by the start of 2045?

Sort by:

predictedYES

Increasingly unclear when people post these if they’re even real

(And once again looking like they were looting customer funds from day one?)

predictedYES

https://archive.ph/QTyne

predictedYES

Related: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-prediction-markets-on-individu#7YzBu175N4offGAh01Na

predictedYES

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-live-till-the

I just copied this for Caroline Ellison.

Even Epstein survived for longer than two months.

Do people in situations like this tend to actually die??

@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent

@sophiawisdom Oh that's very embarrassing for me lol. Glad no one capitalized

Will SBF live till the end of the year?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?

89% chance

Will SBF die in prison?

13% chance

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?

14% chance

Will SBF be released by the start of 2045?

69% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions