![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FI9tNgP0emm.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dd883aa0d-7e2e-4d20-8447-e6699256a97b&w=3840&q=75)
Will Caroline Ellison live till the end of the year?
Mini
17
Ṁ1.5kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's come to light that bad things went on with Alameda/FTX and they allegedly stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds she survives till the end of the year?
Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that she is dead, positively otherwise.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ27 | |
2 | Ṁ6 | |
3 | Ṁ6 | |
4 | Ṁ4 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
Sort by:
This is my first market, so pardon me if I've done it wrong somehow. I basically just copied this similar market: https://manifold.markets/sophiawisdom/will-sbf-live-till-the-end-of-the-y
@BenjaminIkuta You went all in for your first market. Having people bet on somebody’s untimely death!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Caroline Ellison be imprisoned at all?
63% chance
Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence?
74% chance
Will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to any prison time?
64% chance
Caroline Ellison - How many years in her sentence?
Conditional on SBF or Caroline Ellison being dead by 2025, will the cause of death be ruled a suicide?
68% chance
Does Caroline Ellison get >4 year sentence?
9% chance
Will the oldest person alive(Maria Branyas) be alive by EOY 2024
43% chance
How many months of prison time will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to?
51
Will Angela Merkel be alive through the end of 2040?
59% chance
Will Caroline Ellison get a longer sentence than Elizabeth Holmes?
8% chance