Fatal Canadian airliner incident by end of 2027?
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25%
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Between now (2023-01-09) and the end of 2027-12-31, will there be at least one fatal air transportation occurrence involving a Canadian-registered Commercial Airliner (CARs 705)? I will resolve this according to data from The Transportation Safety Board of Canada (TSB).
In the last ten years only one such fatality has occurred, which was in 2017. Source: http://www.bst-tsb.gc.ca/eng/stats/aviation/2021/ssea-ssao-2021.html See "Table 4. Persons fatally injured in air transportation accidents".
As I understand it, the "Airliner (CARs 705)" category comprises all commercial flights with 19 or more people on board.
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