Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term?
Basic
10
Ṁ224
2029
37%
chance

A global conflict or lots of strife and smaller wars, or some other catastrophe at least indirectly caused by or involving the Trump administration.

https://bsky.app/profile/bladeofthes.bsky.social/post/3lgazwndnrs2i

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This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.

I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).

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Inspired by the Rumble market series by @CodeandSolder

  • Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Hyper inflation in the US will resolve the market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)

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How do we feel about hyper inflation in the US? Would that resolve YES?

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