Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term?
16
100Ṁ8692029
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A global conflict or lots of strife and smaller wars, or some other catastrophe at least indirectly caused by or involving the Trump administration.
https://bsky.app/profile/bladeofthes.bsky.social/post/3lgazwndnrs2i
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This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
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Inspired by the Rumble market series by @CodeandSolder
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Hyper inflation in the US will resolve the market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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