
The US sends a non-Salvadorean criminal to a Salvadorean prison in 2025?
Basic
20
Ṁ2528Dec 31
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"We have offered the United States of America the opportunity to outsource part of its prison system," Bukele wrote on X Monday night. "We are willing to take in only convicted criminals (including convicted U.S. citizens) into our mega-prison (CECOT) in exchange for a fee. The fee would be relatively low for the U.S. but significant for us, making our entire prison system sustainable."
Edit: regular extraditions are excluded, this market is specifically about this new scheme
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?
24% chance
Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?
35% chance
Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?
54% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
38% chance
Will El Salvador participate in an intervention in Haiti before the end of 2025?
73% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
44% chance
El Salvador will be doing really well at the start of 2026
41% chance
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?
48% chance
Will someone in the US be executed for child sex crimes by 2030?
24% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
22% chance