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SBF serves time in Federal Supermax prison before 2030
Mini
9
Ṁ2042029
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is incarcerated in a high-security federal prison before 2030.
Data to come from a reputable news source or press release from an appropriate government institution.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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Related questions
Related questions
How many years will SBF be sentenced in US as of 2025-01-01?
25
How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
81% chance
When will SBF be released from prison
0.00
Will SBF spend at least a decade in prison?
81% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?
14% chance
Will we expect SBF to serve more than 15 years in prison?
76% chance
Will SBF receive a pardon or have his sentence commuted by 2030?
17% chance
Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence?
20% chance
Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029
88% chance