Are we at peak Ayatollah-out for Jan 2026?
11
100Ṁ327Jan 31
67%
chance
16
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-december-31-2026 (the one for Dec 31) exceeds 70% during January 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
33% chance
Will Ayatollah Kamenei Flee Iran before Feb 6 2026?
12% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran when?
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
52% chance
Khamenei out in 2026?
52% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
39% chance
Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2026?
21% chance
Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026
37% chance
Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?
49% chance
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
75% chance