Are we at peak Ayatollah-out for Jan 2026?
6
100Ṁ101Jan 31
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-december-31-2026 (the one for Dec 31) exceeds 70% during January 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
Will Ayatollah Kamenei Flee Iran before Feb 6 2026?
15% chance
Khamenei out in 2026?
57% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran when?
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
39% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
53% chance
Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?
48% chance
Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026
50% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
78% chance