
Will China have a model in the top 10 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena on March 1, 2025?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ1.5kresolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If one of the models in the top ten of the overall chatbot leaderboard (LMSYS Chatbot Arena) is developed / owned by a Chinese company, then this will resolve to YES. Otherwise NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ63 | |
| 2 | Ṁ48 | |
| 3 | Ṁ45 | |
| 4 | Ṁ28 | |
| 5 | Ṁ25 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Chinese AI model rank in the top 10 on the LMArena Text leaderboard on August 1?
71% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
60% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
16% chance
Will the top model on LiveBench be Chinese on Jan 1st, 2028?
40% chance
Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
34% chance
Will the LMSYS Chatbot Arena still be 'a thing' in 2027, under the same evaluation method?
43% chance