Will the LMSYS Chatbot Arena still be 'a thing' in 2027, under the same evaluation method?
5
100áš802027
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to NO if they change sufficiently their evaluation method to not be just based on users' preference.
Will resolve by a poll around June 2027, if the evaluation method remains practically the same, asking if it's still 'a thing'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
What will be GPT-5's score on LMSYS Chatbot Arena?
Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
19% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
35% chance
Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?
49% chance
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
32% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
69% chance
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
59% chance
Will any model of the LMSYS chatbot arena top 30 at the end of 2025 use Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN)?
8% chance