By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?
48
538
950
2028
62%
chance

There is a lot of material out there and as such we cannot say "commonplace" as a % of all the material out there. We will conduct a poll where we ask users to rate how commonly they interact with AI-generated pornography and resolve this question to YES if a majority of them have a significant commonplace interaction.

The explicit NSFW movies refer to pornographic videography

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69% nice

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Yes, but people will generally still prefer the real (relatively speaking). The same way moviegoers prefer practical effects to CGI in live-action blockbusters.

bought Ṁ60 of YES

This is obviously going to happen. People will want to be able to see famous people do NSFW things. As well as AI generated Anime style things and so on.

@Timothy This is obviously not going to happen, you might as well say they were not going to put any content filters on GPT-3/4 because people wanted that kind of content.

predicts YES

@JustifieduseofFallibilism There are already not-great NSFW videos and sites specializing in generating still-image AI porn. The big dogs won't want it, but there will be enough little players to provide the supply to all who wish to consume.

bought Ṁ200 of NO

naaaaaaah

what would the point be even? porn is not particularly hard to produce

Fully AI generated, or would deepfakes qualify?

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