in a few days, we'll roll on to Season 11 in the leagues. promoting to Masters, this will be the first time @mattyb and I will be in the same cohort and he nudged me today about where we'll end up in the rankings.
at the time of this market creation I'm ahead, but we're pretty close.
I'm arguably more online than Matt which may give me a bit of an edge? yet, he creates more markets (a recent update means he'll see trader bonuses from existing markets in Season 11 profit rankings) and March is Oscars month - these things work in his favour.
resolution terms are obvious. there's no option for this market to N/A. close date is currently 2 April to allow space for the league-end time randomiser. unless there's an absolute blowout that one of us cannot possibly recover from, I won't resolve early.
eta: if @Stralor succeeds in sabotaging my promotion to Masters, this market will not N/A. instead the criteria changes slightly, as Matt and I will compare Mana and resolve for whoever would have been in a higher position if we were in the same league.
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ136 | |
| 2 | Ṁ111 | |
| 3 | Ṁ85 | |
| 4 | Ṁ65 | |
| 5 | Ṁ33 |
@shankypanky atm Matt and I would be surprisingly tied again even in the post-Oscars void, but he clocked ~8k referral bonuses from SOTU and March is still not making me particularly hungry (except for the elusive soup obv) so this doesn't feel like much of a catfight
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we might need to break this down into conditional probabilities based on the outcome of @mattyb 's "will I take a loan" market https://manifold.markets/mattyb/shortfuse-will-i-mattyb-willingly-t
@mattyb i've been stuck at 0M all day selling small positions & it's making me very tempted to switch some more markets to TheNumbers, boxofficemojo is taking absolutely forever to add the final weekend #s lol (w/ a bunch of markets waiting on that to resolve)
