Will USA make it out of the group stage in the 2022 World Cup?
Will USA make it out of the group stage in the 2022 World Cup?
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930Ṁ22kresolved Nov 30
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Market will be resolved to YES if USA makes it to the round of 16 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
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predictedYES 2y
predictedYES 2y
@GeorgeTaylor no, if US draws with Iran, US makes 3 points, Iran 4 points. And England has already 4 points so there would be two teams with more points than the US (only two per group qualify to the next round)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.