🏅 Top traders

is predicting YES at 53%

A tie or a loss would eliminate the US, so right now this is the same as this market:

bought Ṁ200 of YES

@egroj Is this right? If USA draw to Iran and Wales don't beat England, USA qualify, right?

is predicting YES at 40%

is predicting YES at 39%

@GeorgeTaylor no, if US draws with Iran, US makes 3 points, Iran 4 points. And England has already 4 points so there would be two teams with more points than the US (only two per group qualify to the next round)

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@GeorgeTaylor yes, you are right. my maths degree is not going well...

is predicting YES at 46%

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Same as this:

shade

bought Ṁ9,315 YES from 98.4% to 99.6%

amoebus

bought Ṁ207 YES from 98.3% to 98.4%

Zach Stein-Perlman

bought Ṁ117 YES at 98.3%

howtodowtle

bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.3%

howtodowtle

sold Ṁ0 NO at 98.3%

Neon Nuke

sold Ṁ8 NO from 98.0% to 98.3%

sold Ṁ872 YES from 98.5% to 98.0%

nero wheelr

bought Ṁ100 YES from 98.4% to 98.5%

Gregory Lu

bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.4%

sold Ṁ295 YES from 98.6% to 98.4%

sold Ṁ493 YES from 98.8% to 98.6%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 98.7% to 98.8%

bought Ṁ100 YES at 98.7%

bought Ṁ100 YES at 98.7%

bought Ṁ3,000 YES from 95% to 98.7%

filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 YES at 95%

bought Ṁ814 YES from 92% to 95%

bought Ṁ14 NO at 92%

filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 YES at 92%

bought Ṁ500 YES from 87% to 92%

bought Ṁ188 YES from 85% to 87%

bought Ṁ2 YES at 85%

bought Ṁ94 YES from 84% to 85%

bought Ṁ46 NO from 87% to 84%

bought Ṁ94 YES from 86% to 87%

bought Ṁ194 YES from 84% to 86%

bought Ṁ16 YES from 83% to 84%

bought Ṁ20 YES at 83%

filled limit order Ṁ44/Ṁ150 YES at 83% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ177 YES from 79% to 82%

bought Ṁ34 YES from 78% to 79%

bought Ṁ29 NO from 80% to 78%

bought Ṁ45 YES from 79% to 80%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 78% to 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ50 YES at 78% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

filled limit order Ṁ34/Ṁ50 YES at 77% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ40 YES from 75% to 76%

bought Ṁ55 NO from 80% to 75%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 77% to 80%

Jacob

sold Ṁ78 YES from 79% to 77%

bought Ṁ69 YES from 78% to 79%

Jacob

bought Ṁ100 YES from 75% to 78%