Which prediction/forecasting site do you use the most besides Manifold (if you use one)?
My goal for this poll is to get a clearer picture of the overlap between users of various sites (both forecasting and betting markets).
By “use,” I mean total activity including browsing, betting, market creation etc.
@saulmunn has a great website mapping out the current landscape of prediction markets if you’re curious about this stuff
People are also trading
nice, i like this!
i think it might be helpful to disambiguate "use" — some possible meanings of "use":
- check (e.g. to check the news) 
- forecast "seriously" (e.g. superforecasters predicting nuclear catastrophe 
- forecast "playfull" (e.g. betting purely for fun, to win leagues, to gamble, etc) 
also, thanks for tagging my prediction market map! :D
@saulmunn also might be helpful to disambiguate "the most" — some possible meanings of "most":
- the most time spent on the app/website 
- the most effort spent on the app/website 
- the most likely that i'd recommend 
- most frequently that i check it 
- etc 
these have minor differences, but sometimes might be useful. i'm less confident about the usefulness of this disambiguation than i am about disambiguating "use."
@saulmunn might also be cool to get a sense of extent — e.g. if my splitup is .2/.2/.2/.4 (polymarket/metaculus/predictit/kalshi), that's very different from .8/.05/.05/.1.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 I didn’t enable adding options :( my bad. IMO if you don’t use any other site I would just not vote in the poll