Resolves YES upon confirmation from the IDF that strikes of any kind (e.g. cruise missile strikes) were conducted on at least on Yemeni target (located in Yemen).
If there is no official confirmation but a strong OSINT consensus that Israel conducted strikes in Yemen, this will also resolve YES. Should this be the case I will consult with this market's share holders to determine what consitutes a credible OSINT consensus.
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@sarius "Houthi officials denied the report, claiming that the blast occurred at a gas station, while Hezam al-Asad, a member of the Iran-backed Houthi’s political bureau, tweeted that it was caused by remnants of a bomb left over from the civil war."
@ndabs https://twitter.com/fab_hinz/status/1730303443804279083
Saying that the "base got destroyed by a Saudi-led coalition" is far from a "Strong OSINT Consensus" lol
https://twitter.com/LucasFoxNews/status/1725181266700493159
Israeli Air Force chief: We have plans to strike Yemen too
@Emanuele98 No he didn't, lol. He just said that the IAF operates all across the Middle East. No mention of Yemen. Very embarassing for an actual journalist to make this mistake. But I guess I shouldn't be expecting anything from Fox News.
If we assume that most Israeli targets are about 1,500 - 2,000 km from Yemen, that leaves the Houthis
- their Toufan ballistic missiles with an estimated range of up to 1,900 km (courtesy of Iran)
- Samad 3 and 4 drones with an estimated range of from 1,500 km to 2,000 km
- Shahed 136 drones with an estimated range of 2,500 km
And: the Houthis have a history of threatening Israel. If the ground operations in Gaza really kicks off, they might be inclined to show some support for Hamas/PIJ: However, any Houthi attack would entail Israeli retaliation. Jericho 2 and 3 missiles could easily make it to Yemen.
@sarius
> Jericho 2 and 3 missiles could easily make it to Yemen.
They might not want to use those. Wonder if USA or KSA will conduct airstrikes instead.
@RobertSutherland ‘Bravo Two Zero’ was part of a UK/US operation to take out Iraq Scud missiles against Israel to avoid Israeli retaliation in the first Gulf War
@sarius The Houthis (or someone in Yemen) also launched drone/missile attacks on Oct 19 and 27, which Israel hasn't retaliated against. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taba_and_Nuweiba_drone_attacks