The current state of affairs in Israel is very bad, to say the least.

There is speculation that the armed forces will stay in the right side of history.

This market resolves to YES if there's a Civil War, a forced change of the status quo (either by the army or by a para-military group), an auto-coup, or a revolution. This requires the use or at least a significant threat of use of violence.

The current matters currently discussed in the Knesset aren't considered a coup for this market.

I'll rely on the Wikipedia and the mainstream media to adjudicate this market.

I won't bet.