Will Israel conduct strikes in Yemen in 2023?
Dec 31

Resolves YES upon confirmation from the IDF that strikes of any kind (e.g. cruise missile strikes) were conducted on at least on Yemeni target (located in Yemen).

If there is no official confirmation but a strong OSINT consensus that Israel conducted strikes in Yemen, this will also resolve YES. Should this be the case I will consult with this market's share holders to determine what consitutes a credible OSINT consensus.

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Emanuele98 avatar
Emanuelebought Ṁ12 of YES


Israeli Air Force chief: We have plans to strike Yemen too

Shump avatar
Shumpbought Ṁ200 of NO

@Emanuele98 No he didn't, lol. He just said that the IAF operates all across the Middle East. No mention of Yemen. Very embarassing for an actual journalist to make this mistake. But I guess I shouldn't be expecting anything from Fox News.

Emanuele98 avatar
Emanuelepredicts YES

@Shump It's a quote from Kan - Israel Public Broadcasting.

Shump avatar
Shumppredicts NO

@Emanuele98 Source? He doesn't say that in the video

Emanuele98 avatar
Emanuelebought Ṁ0 of NO
Shump avatar
Shumppredicts NO

That's weird. I rewatched the video multiple times. He doesn't say that. Maybe they interpreted the vague saying about the Middle East this way?

AlQuinn avatar
Al Quinnbought Ṁ50 of NO

The Houthi actions still look extremely small-ball. Israel is trying to not escalate on all fronts (outside Gaza) so will endure the occasional token rocket.

Shump avatar
Shumpbought Ṁ0 of NO

I put a pretty bit limit order down. Will stay for the next 24 hours. Feel free to take it.

sarius avatar

If we assume that most Israeli targets are about 1,500 - 2,000 km from Yemen, that leaves the Houthis

- their Toufan ballistic missiles with an estimated range of up to 1,900 km (courtesy of Iran)

- Samad 3 and 4 drones with an estimated range of from 1,500 km to 2,000 km

- Shahed 136 drones with an estimated range of 2,500 km

And: the Houthis have a history of threatening Israel. If the ground operations in Gaza really kicks off, they might be inclined to show some support for Hamas/PIJ: However, any Houthi attack would entail Israeli retaliation. Jericho 2 and 3 missiles could easily make it to Yemen.

sarius avatar
sariusbought Ṁ100 of YES

The Houthis did indeed fire a few missiles earlier today. I would expect Israel to respond within the next few days.

sarius avatar
sariusbought Ṁ100 of YES

Accordingly, with the help of God Almighty, our armed forces launched a large batch of ballistic and winged missiles and a large number of drones at various targets of the Israeli enemy in the occupied territories.

RobertSutherland avatar
Robert Sutherlandpredicts NO

> Jericho 2 and 3 missiles could easily make it to Yemen.

They might not want to use those. Wonder if USA or KSA will conduct airstrikes instead.

NiallWeaver avatar
Niall Weaverpredicts NO

@RobertSutherland ‘Bravo Two Zero’ was part of a UK/US operation to take out Iraq Scud missiles against Israel to avoid Israeli retaliation in the first Gulf War

Jwags avatar
Jeffpredicts NO

@sarius The Houthis (or someone in Yemen) also launched drone/missile attacks on Oct 19 and 27, which Israel hasn't retaliated against. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taba_and_Nuweiba_drone_attacks