Will Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026?
3
100Ṁ148
Dec 31
18%
chance

Counts only if it is not recognized by any other UN full member nation. In 2025 they recognized Somaliland

Resolves YES if the Bay Area ceases to exist before close. Resolves NO if New York ceases to exist before close. Resolves N/A if AGI comes next Friday the 13, and resolves 67% if I hear someone except @JeromeHPowell say 67 within 2 hours of creating this market.

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Micronation is, I think, a misnomer as used here for Somaliland

@realDonaldTrump well played…well played

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