Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026? | Manifold

Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?

19

100Ṁ895

2027

25%

chance

6

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

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Will the government of Syria formally recognize Israel before the end of the year 2026?

For purposes of this market, the "government of Syria" will be considered whichever government controls the city of Damascus.

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Arab-Israeli Conflict

Israel-Iran Conflict

Israeli Foreign Politics

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opened a Ṁ25 NO at 42% order

The main problem is that Israel has formally annexed Syrian territory. It'd be hard for a Syrian government to justify normalization with Israel to its internal population without getting the territory back.

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