Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
21
100Ṁ940
2027
17%
chance

Will the government of Syria formally recognize Israel before the end of the year 2026?

For purposes of this market, the "government of Syria" will be considered whichever government controls the city of Damascus.

I will not bet on this market.

Israel
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Israel-Iran Conflict
Syria
Israeli Foreign Politics
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opened a Ṁ25 NO at 42% order

The main problem is that Israel has formally annexed Syrian territory. It'd be hard for a Syrian government to justify normalization with Israel to its internal population without getting the territory back.

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