Note: this is the short-term version of this great market by @Panfilo /Panfilo/which-of-these-states-will-recogniz

This market will defer to that market's resolution, since this timespan is a subset of theirs. So barring very extreme circumstances, nothing will change here unless it changes upstream.

Here are the rules I copied from that market, but overall, we obey the decisions of that market, if there is a conflict or difficulty. I will add items they add there, too.

Any number of these states can resolve YES at any time between now and the due date. All remaining will resolve NO at that time. If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the YES resolution will remain.

In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo. Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter?

If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they will be added by me. If recognition is ambiguous, each entry will resolve based on the removal of a state from the color-coded categories on this Wikipedia list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_Israel#List_by_country