Defined as a change in Manifold's system where you can use real money. So if they reintroduced sweepstakes that would be a pivot, and if they got rid of them again it would also be a pivot.

Resolves:

• NO if 0 pivots

• 33% if 1 pivot

• 66% if 2 pivots

• 99% if 3 pivots

• YES if 4+ pivots