Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?
22
400Ṁ5702027
90%
The Washington Post
83%
Sam Altman
70%
Sam Bankman-Fried
69%
Gavin Newsom
65%
Neil Gaiman
60%
The Papacy
49%
John Fetterman
45%
Drake
41%
MrBeast
40%
Disney
40%
MSNBC
30%
Manifold
10%
Bluesky
9%
Jon Stewart
9%
Taylor Swift
8%
Contrapoints (Natalie Wynn)
Resolves based on any of the following:
They do a "Why I Left the Left"–style article or otherwise directly state a right-wing pivot
Their listed party affiliation changes (or "ideology" tag is added to, if applicable) on Wikipedia, and remains so for over a month
Vibe-based Manifold poll following some event suggesting a significant movement rightwards, with the question "Did <x> pivot to the right from (date)?" And the answers "Yes," "No," "and "See Results" (A person can be voted on multiple times; NO resolutions will only come at market close).
If all else fails, my personal judgement
I will not bet in this market due to its subjective resolution criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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