Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?
21
350Ṁ4742027
90%
The Washington Post
74%
Gavin Newsom
70%
Sam Bankman-Fried
65%
Neil Gaiman
60%
The Papacy
49%
John Fetterman
45%
Drake
41%
MrBeast
40%
Disney
40%
MSNBC
30%
Manifold
10%
Bluesky
9%
Jon Stewart
9%
Taylor Swift
Resolves based on any of the following:
They do a "Why I Left the Left"–style article or otherwise directly state a right-wing pivot
Their listed party affiliation changes (or "ideology" tag is added to, if applicable) on Wikipedia, and remains so for over a month
Vibe-based Manifold poll following some event suggesting a significant movement rightwards, with the question "Did <x> pivot to the right from (date)?" And the answers "Yes," "No," "and "See Results" (A person can be voted on multiple times; NO resolutions will only come at market close).
If all else fails, my personal judgement
I will not bet in this market due to its subjective resolution criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Both US political parties will seem less extreme by 2025
31% chance
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?
62% chance
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Who will come out as conservative in 2025? (Add answers)
Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?
45% chance
Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
63% chance
Will Manifold be taken over by any other ideological group before 2028?
20% chance
Will i be left leaning as of 1 jan 2026
10% chance