I will use the Zeit polling average unless someone recommends something better: https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/umfragen-bundestagswahl-neuwahl-wahltrend
They are currently at about 30%. If the average dips to below 28% in the next couple of weeks this resolves yes.
1,000
3.00@skibidist Empirically the last two months the CDU has adopted multiple AfD positions and in this time they have lost about 3% in the polls that the AfD has gained. Also I think most political science and the developments in other european countries show that by emphasizing the topics of the far right parties you help them more than you hurt them. So imma have to push the doubt button on that take.
@rayman2000 I bought YES along with my comment, because I think it's probably not enough to overcome the overall trend of AfD's rise. So my view is that CDU lost the few percentage points despite, rather than because of adopting the positions. I tend to think the topics (mostly mass immigration and overregulation incl. via the EU) emphasize themselves regardless. This is just my opinion, but I am actually looking for ways to be proven objectively wrong.