Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
Basic
8
Ṁ5912028
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve to YES if it's a *SUCCESSFUL* crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Does the HLS demo count or do they need to land astronauts for this market?
What counts as a landing? If it crashes into the moon does that count?
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2029?
62% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
50% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* before Dec 31st 2028?
38% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
73% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
46% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
18% chance