Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2029?
Plus
16
Ṁ30792030
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Just to clarify for other bettors and the creator:
I am betting under the understanding that "by" means 'before the end of', rather than 'before the beginning of'. This has been a long-standing issue on Manifold. In this case the end date and the other markets in the creator's series are the information I used.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* before Dec 31st 2028?
38% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
73% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
16% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
46% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
50% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
18% chance