Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2029?
11
86
230
2030
66%
chance

The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

Just to clarify for other bettors and the creator:

I am betting under the understanding that "by" means 'before the end of', rather than 'before the beginning of'. This has been a long-standing issue on Manifold. In this case the end date and the other markets in the creator's series are the information I used.

@JoshuaWilkes Sorry about the confusion, I will re-word it to "by Dec 31st 2029"