Trump visits China in May?
10
Ṁ1kṀ1.3kMay 31
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if:
Donald Trump physically visits mainland China (e.g., Beijing or any city in China)
The visit occurs on or before May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT
The visit is confirmed by:
Official government statements, or
A consensus of credible reporting
Resolves to NO if:
Trump does not visit China within the specified timeframe
The trip is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or delayed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT
A planned or announced trip does NOT count — the visit must occur
A layover without an official visit does NOT count
Virtual meetings or summits outside China do NOT count
Market may resolve immediately upon confirmed arrival in mainland China
If arrival time is unclear, first widely reported timestamp of landing/arrival will be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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