Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036?
28
1kṀ16362036
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if and only if on Jan 1st, 2036 a human, for the first time, sets foot on the Martian surface.
This market will resolve with the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/JamesGiammona/will-a-human-step-foot-on-mars-by-2-8cc75fd1cb55, except for the change in the date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?
10% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?
40% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?
60% chance
Who will be the first person to walk on Mars before December 31st, 2039
Will a human walk on Mars before 2036?
28% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2031?
8% chance
When will a human first set foot on Mars?
When will a (living) human first set foot on Mars?
2039
Will a human walk on Mars before 2037?
35% chance
Will a human will set foot on Mars by the end of 2047?
74% chance