Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 2, 2036

Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?

33%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if on or before Jan 1st, 2036, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.

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Benjamin Cosman

Feels a bit weird to include Jan 1st as a positive resolution, but I doubt that will affect the result so whatever.

Teddy Weverka sold Ṁ1 NO at 33%

Teddy Weverka created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 38%

Teddy Weverka bought Ṁ1 NO at 33%

Ulf Holmberg bought Ṁ10 YES from 32% to 33%

Teddy Weverka sold Ṁ69 NO from 30% to 32%

Sarah Constantin bought Ṁ10 YES at 30%

Tegwick bought Ṁ10 YES from 29% to 30%

Vipin Baswan bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 29%

Jesus Of Sivar bought Ṁ10 NO at 30%

blake bought Ṁ10 YES at 30%

Martin Randall filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 30%

Josh Wilkes bought Ṁ10 YES from 31% to 32%

mjman bought Ṁ50 NO from 34% to 31%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ13 YES at 34% (cancelled)

Teddy Weverka bought Ṁ65 NO from 38% to 33%

PS bought Ṁ30 NO from 40% to 38%

Jacob Dean bought Ṁ40 NO from 44% to 40%

Enaz bought Ṁ10 YES from 43% to 44%

Adam bought Ṁ15 NO from 44% to 43%

power creep bought Ṁ10 YES from 43% to 44%

Holger Bähren bought Ṁ50 YES from 35% to 43%

Jacob Dean bought Ṁ20 NO from 37% to 35%

Mqrius sold Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 37%

Phishz bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 39%

Travis bought Ṁ10 NO from 38% to 37%

MAcs 19R1 bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

Diggelaer sold Ṁ9 NO from 38% to 39%

Mqrius bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 38%

Entropy bought Ṁ10 YES from 34% to 36%

Alex Wilson sold Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 34%

Alex Wilson bought Ṁ10 YES from 34% to 36%

Diggelaer bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 34%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 35% (cancelled)

Blaise sold Ṁ33 NO from 31% to 36%

yaboi69 bought Ṁ25 NO from 35% to 31%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ8 YES at 35% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled)

Jacob Dean bought Ṁ80 NO from 44% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 44% (cancelled)

harfe bought Ṁ30 NO from 48% to 42%

Isaac bought Ṁ10 YES from 46% to 48%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ2 NO at 46%

Adam bought Ṁ25 YES from 38% to 46%

Gavriel bought Ṁ10 YES from 35% to 38%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 YES at 35% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ34/Ṁ100 YES at 34% (cancelled)

harfe filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Keith Pomakis bought Ṁ20 NO from 45% to 39%

VelocityBot sold Ṁ0 NO at 45%

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