Will @Joshua's market for Times Person of the Year 2023 contain the correct response?
18
350Ṁ671
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
YES

Speculating on @Joshua's market: /Joshua/who-will-be-time-person-of-the-year

This market resolves YES if there is a response for the person of the year, and it's confirmed that it was not added after the announcement.

This market resolves NO if there is no response for the person of the year.

I will be trying my best to match the closing time of Joshua's market.

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How does this resolve if it's something like "The Large Language Model" and then I resolve to "ChatGPT"? Or what if the answer is two people, and only one of them was submitted?

@Joshua I was thinking about writing some sort of clause in this market that clarifies how that clause in your market would be handled. I figure that I'll be rocking with what you decide. If you deem a next-closest answer as acceptable for the spirit of the market that coincides with the genuine POTY, then I would say that this market resolves YES.

If it was two people, and only one is listed in your market, then maybe 50/50? I'm not sure if that would be upsetting to anyone or not

predictedYES

Yeah they've done some weird things before, I'm considering an update to my criteria to address such cases now.

@Joshua shoutouts The Spirit of Ukraine, and The Guardians

Can this just be arbitraged with the “other” option on his market?

hmm I guess not because more options can be added.

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