Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050? | Manifold

Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050?

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4

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2052

31%

chance

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1M

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New York has long been the most populous city in the United States, but its population plateaued around 8 million in the 1950's and 60's[1]. Will any city in the US break 12 million people by the year 2050?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_New_York_City

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I think for this to be a good market you should get extremely explicit about how you define "city".

predicts NO

@EvanDaniel Sure, I'm using census data for this market... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Place_(United_States_Census_Bureau)

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