Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census? | Manifold

Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?

🇺🇸 US Politics Urbanism United States Population US Census

Mini

4

Ṁ523

2032

1D

1W

1M

ALL

74%

Fort Worth, TX

73%

San Antonio, TX

69%

Port St. Lucie, FL

68%

Phoenix, AZ

49%

Houston, TX

46%

Charlotte, NC

20%

Seattle, WA

20%

NYC, NY

16%

Atlanta, Georgia

16%

Fort Myers, Florida

16%

Austin, Texas

16%

Minneapolis, Minnesota

16%

Denver, CO

14%

Tallahassee, Florida

14%

Miami, FL

14%

Washington, DC

14%

Dallas, TX

14%

San Jose, CA

14%

Boston, MA

14%

Detroit, Michigan

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

@WillTower Thanks for the question. I made a little notebook to think through my predictions:
https://github.com/zachflanders/forecasting/blob/main/us-cities-2020-2030.ipynb

forecasting/us-cities-2020-2030.ipynb at main · zachflanders/forecasting

Making predictions. Contribute to zachflanders/forecasting development by creating an account on GitHub.

bought Ṁ5 Port St. Lucie, FL YES

@WillTower Charlotte should be NC. Also, I am assuming this market is about census places? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Place_(United_States_Census_Bureau)

Thanks! Also yes, generally census places (possible exclusion for radical redefinitions of a given census place, i.e. if the square miles termed 'Houston' quadrupled)

Related questions

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Which of these regions will have the largest population in 2040?

Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?

Will Detroit have a higher population in 2030 than 2020?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?

Which states will report net population growth during 2024?

The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.

Will Houston have a greater population than Chicago before 2030? (cities, not metro areas)

Related questions

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Which of these regions will have the largest population in 2040?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?

Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050?

Which states will report net population growth during 2024?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?

The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.

Will Detroit have a higher population in 2030 than 2020?

Will Houston have a greater population than Chicago before 2030? (cities, not metro areas)