Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

30

1.1kṀ4180

2028

4%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

OpenAI is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Market context

Artificial Intelligence

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

If it happens, I hope you don't plan to use it as an excuse to not resolve this market.

People are also trading

Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?

Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?

Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Related questions

Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?

Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?

Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy