Will US crude oil production hit a record high in 2024?
10
49
230
2025
95%
chance

Resolves based on government data, such as this: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS2&f=M

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Made a time sensitive version of the question, for the Yglesias prediction category (reasoning inside why it's not just a duplicate):

bought Ṁ386 of YES