Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
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1.1kṀ4783Dec 31
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This is comparing accuracy of the AI model vs Manifold users on a 'benchmark' selection of objective markets'.
Inspired by the Autocast competition: https://forecasting.mlsafety.org/
Close date updated to 2026-01-01 12:59 am
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