Conditional on Republicans winning the Presidency in 2024, will JD Vance be elected President in 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ1972028
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump (or any other politician nominated by the Republican party) doesn't win the Presidential election in 2024, this question resolves to N/A.
Otherwise this questions resolves YES if J. D. Vance wins the 2028 Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated as President (due to illness, etc). Resolves NO if someone else wins the election.
Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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