Update: Trump won so this market is no longer conditional.
If Trump (or any other politician nominated by the Republican party) doesn't win the Presidential election in 2024, this question resolves to N/A.
This question resolves YES if J. D. Vance wins the 2028 Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated as President (due to illness, etc). Resolves NO if someone else wins the election.
Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
1,000
3.00@mods there's at least 3 other markets for this exact question, could you cancel it for me? It seems redundant at this point as the other markets have a lot more traders. Thanks!
@nsokolsky I'm not sure that would be fair to the participants who already put mana down in this market. For example:
They may have used this market for arbitrage with another similar market
They may not be able to acquire similar positions in a different market if this one is marked N/A
Since the question is still a real, relevant question, and people have already traded on it, I'm hesitant to mark it as N/A.
That said, if you still really, really want to mark it N/A, knowing all of the above, I believe the moderator guidelines still give you the final say in this case.
Looks like this market is now in business! Renamed the title.
