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Will JD Vance become President before January 20, 2029?
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k
2029
21%
chance

This market resolves YES if JD Vance becomes President of the United States at any point between now and January 19, 2029 (before Trump's second term ends). CONTEXT: The 22nd Amendment creates an interesting incentive: if Vance becomes president AFTER January 20, 2027 (the midpoint of Trump's term), he could potentially serve up to 10 years total as president (remainder of Trump's term + two full elected terms). If he becomes president BEFORE that date, he can only serve one additional elected term. RESOLVES YES IF: - Vance assumes the presidency via 25th Amendment (voluntary or involuntary) - Trump resigns and Vance succeeds him - Trump dies and Vance succeeds him - Any other scenario where Vance becomes president before Jan 20, 2029 RESOLVES NO IF: - Trump completes his full second term - Someone other than Vance becomes president before Jan 20, 2029 Resolution date: January 20, 2029 (or earlier if YES)

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