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MANIFOLD
Will there be any positive new headline on Starship Orbital Flight Attempt 2 from mainstream news organizations?
10
Ṁ170Ṁ2.6k
resolved Nov 21
Resolved
YES

Will resolve to a YES if there is a headline by any of the news organizations listed that includes the word "SUCCESSFUL" or "SUCCESS"?

Market context
SpaceX
Space
Starship Launch Party
Media Companies
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NPR: "A 'successful failure': SpaceX's Starship achieves liftoff, loses contact mid-flight"

https://www.npr.org/2023/11/18/1213451383/spacex-is-attempting-to-launch-its-giant-starship-rocket-again-heres-what-to-kno

predictedYES

Resolves YES @notarealuser

https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/spacex-starship-launch-scn/index.html

predictedYES

@Shump "Soars Past Milestones" definitely positive

@Shump they mention it in the article once but overall not a positive headline.

predictedNO

@Shump The headline I see "SpaceX Starship rocket lost in second test flight"

predictedYES

@notarealuser Ah, they changed it

predictedYES

@notarealuser Seems like the headline is still there, although now there are negative headlines preceding it. Still, the market only requires a single positive headline.

They probably automatically A/B tested it and put the one that generated more clicks as the main one.

predictedNO

@Shump i mean they are bullet points.

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