What year will the majority of new cars sold in Europe be "battery electric" (BEV)? | Manifold

What year will the majority of new cars sold in Europe be "battery electric" (BEV)?

Basic

10

Ṁ581

2030

1D

1W

1M

ALL

0%

2023

0%

2024

0%

2025

0%

2026

6%

2027

9%

2028

20%

2029

65%

2030 or later

This resolves according to the number published by ACEA, like this one: https://www.acea.auto/figure/fuel-types-of-new-passenger-cars-in-eu/

In 2021 the number for BEV was 9.1%, up from 1% in 2018, 1.9% in 2019 and 5.4% in 2020.

The EU have decided to ban the sale of new fossil fueled cars from 2035 so presumably that will be the last possible year this can resolve to, but considering how fast BEVs have risen it may well be a majority much earlier.

UPDATE: The number for 2022 was 12.1%

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Because of Manifolds stupid system of "never close before resolve or we will pester you with notifications about resolving" I have changed the closing date to 2030-12-31.

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