Which year will be the first where more electric than combustion-engine vehicles are sold in the USA?
0
2502040
2028
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Which year will be the first where more electric than combustion-engine vehicles are sold in the USA?
For this question, hybrid vehicles that have a combustion engine but ALSO have a range battery will be counted with combustion engine vehicles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 35,000 units in Dec 2025?
8% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 24,500 units in Dec 2025?
17% chance
U.S. BEV sales to exceed 80,000 units in January 2026?
37% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 22,900 units in Jan 2026?
40% chance
Which year will electric and plugin hybrid new car sales be a majority of all new car sales in the USA?
2029
U.S. BEV sales exceed 82,000 units in February 2026?
57% chance
When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?
2035
๐ When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?
Will Electric Semi-Truck sales exceed Internal Combustion Semi-Trucks by 2035 in USA.
53% chance
U.S. PHEV sales to exceed 23,500 units in Feb 2026?
46% chance