What will be the global share of new cars sold that are electric by:

Question

Resolves based on our world in data.

https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales

Their figure includes plug in hybrids.  Was 8% in 2022.

The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.

I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2050, followed by 2040 and 2030 are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of Jul 15, 2026).