What will be my p(doom) on December 1? (resolves to %) | Manifold

What will be my p(doom) on December 1? (resolves to %)

Basic

5

Ṁ70

resolved Dec 10

Resolved as

81%

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I won't bet on this market after setting it to 80%

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

predicted YES

Wow, it’s December already.

Will think on p(doom) in the morning

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