[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Plus
14
Ṁ6722032
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve positively if, by 2030-01-01, small modular reactor nuclear power supplies at least 1% of any nation's annual elecricity consumption. Resolution may come from credible media reports, government agencies, or energy industry researchers such as the IEA
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
33% chance
Will a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?
29% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
28% chance
Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
64% chance
How many USNC micro-modular reactors will be in operation in 2030? (x5)
49% chance
How much nuclear small modular reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
58% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
32% chance
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
62% chance
Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
77% chance