Will nuclear power account for 30% or more of global electricity generation by 2035?
10
210Ṁ6262035
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve yes if by the closing date at least 30% of global power is generated through nuclear fission (or fusion/other nuclear methods if made viable by then).
I'll resolve for no if nuclear energy clearly accounts for less than 30% of power.
Resolves N/A on the off-chance that a resolving statistic is unclear/inconsistent across major agencies by 2035 for whatever reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
No way. It is below 10% and decreasing since years. https://ember-climate.org/data/data-tools/data-explorer/
Related questions
Related questions
Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?
13% chance
What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
Will renewable energy sources account for more than 50% of global electricity production by 2030?
68% chance
Will 20% or more of Japan's energy be from nuclear sources before 2030?
76% chance
Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?
12% chance
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
22% chance
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2035?
87% chance
Will fusion provide >30% of US electrical power by 2100?
37% chance
Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
70% chance
Will fission provide >50% of US electrical power by 2100?
26% chance