Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker until 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if Mike Johnson remains the Speaker of the US House of Representatives continuously until the end of 2023. This question will resolve as No if Mike Johnson ceases to be Speaker of the House for any reason (including but not limited to resignation, retirement, election loss, loss of majority party status, vote of no confidence, expulsion, impeachment and conviction, disqualification, death, or incapacity) in 2023. Resolution will be determined according to reporting from credible sources.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.