[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?
1
26
70
2031
55%
chance

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves positively, if before June 1st 2031, a reliable paper, blog post, or some other article appears in the literature indicating that researchers had digitally mapped a section of an animal connectome using some high-resolution scanning technology, such by serial section electron microscopy, and the size of that map meets or exceeds one exabyte. Otherwise, it resolves negatively.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get Ṁ200 play money