[Metaculus] On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?
Basic
5
Ṁ824
2026
20%
chance

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve "Yes" if credible sources indicate that rider-only ride-hailing trips operated by Cruise are available to the general public anywhere in the United States on January 1, 2026.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules