Lyft is currently #2 in total market cap in US Measured by total market cap https://companiesmarketcap.com/ridesharing/largest-companies-by-market-cap/

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 61% chance (5 traders, as of Dec 6, 2024).

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2030?

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2026?

15% chance

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2029?

50% chance

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2027?

36% chance

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2028?

38% chance

Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

80% chance

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

76% chance

Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

37% chance

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

52% chance

Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?

Will a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

46% chance