[Metaculus] Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27, 2024?
10
168Ṁ1613Jan 28
1.4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
If Jeff McAulay is declared the winner of the bet by the Long Now Foundation, then this question will resolve as Yes. If Stephen Zoepf is declared the winner, then this question will resolve as No
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
30% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
27% chance
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?
18% chance
[Metaculus] On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?
3% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will *Vegas Loop* autonomously transport Cars between Las Vegas and Los Angeles by 2030?
36% chance
Will there be a race of commercial self-driving cars on a closed race track by end of 2029.
61% chance
Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
85% chance
[Metaculus] Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
7% chance